What We're Reading

Macro (116)

Admin

Macau Could See Further Slowing

Meanwhile MGM and other casino names are showing signs of head-and-shoulders tops.  Full disclosure I am long LVS as a long standing drawer pick and short MGM here. (click chart to enlarge)

Macau is the growth engine for the global casino industry, and revenue growth for casinos there seems to be slowing, Wells Fargo said in a report.

That could affect sales and earnings for world's largest casino company, Las Vegas Sands (LVS), and rivals Wynn Resorts (…

Read More, Comment and Share......

Admin

A huge slowdown in Germany is on the way, yet few see it. Steen Jakobsen, chief economist at Saxo bank writes via email ...

Back from major trip to Brazil, Uruguay, US and Spain.

The one thing which to me is being ignored by the market is the coming slow-down in Germany. The market can of course go up in times of weaker growth, but my big “thing” is that no one believes Germany economically is slowing despite very negative macro changes in the last twelve months:

  • The China rebalancing will cost Germany export volume.
  • Germany has the most expensive energy policy in Europe – a drive away from atomic power dependency to a less obvious dependency on Russian gas.
  • The Ukraine crisis impacts Germany. According…

Read More, Comment and Share......

Admin

Existing Home Sales Recovery

Some recovery.  *pfft* 

To construct this chart, we compute for each month the year-over-year house price change for all 1,220 counties for which CoreLogic reports overall house price indexes. Those price changes are ranked from highest to lowest and then reported as percentiles based on this ranking. For example, the 5th percentile tracks the 61st-lowest county-level house price change in each month. Note that an individual county can be, and often is, in different percentiles over time. Gray shading indicates an NBER recession.

Courtesy of…

Read More, Comment and Share......

Admin

Visualizing The Housing Bubble Recovery

This visual gives one a clear perspective on what housing areas were hit the hardest during the recent financial crisis and subsequent housing (price) fall. The recovery in some areas has been amazing.

Created by Catherine Mulbrandon at VisualizingEconomics.com

Read More, Comment and Share......

Admin

Living on $20 Then And Now

Ouch that hurts .  Luckily the Fed doesn't include food in their inflation data.  (yes, sarcasm) Seriously though in a day and age where companies can "afford" enormous CEO salary hikes, share repurchases and buybacks, it behooves me they continue to stomp their feet stating they cannot afford a minimum wage hike. 

Almost half of the states in the U.S. are already paying more than the federal minimum wage and those states are surviving just fine.  San Jose and Washington have seen expansion in small business and increased revenue with $10 minimum wages.  The propaganda has become ridiculous folks.  Just my…

Read More, Comment and Share......

Admin

Labor Force Participation And Drinking The Koolaid

I so would love FOX news to pause from all the foot stomping and finger pointing "the labor force participation rate continues to drop under Obama and his failed Presidency!" to respond to this post from Ritholtz but that will never happen............because it doesn't boost ratings.  If you drink the FOX koolaid, please take a look at this research and do some of your own. 

Is it Obama's "failed policies"....or a good percentage merely a matter of aging demographics AND was it foretold?  Yes it was - over a decade ago.  Of course riling people up…

Read More, Comment and Share......

Admin

More M&A Ahead

On the heels of the announcement AT&T was in the talks to acquire DTV, David Faber on CNBC mentioned he believed we will see a great deal more M&A going forward; that this is the perfect environment for it. Kos agrees. One way to be able to demand a higher price is to remove (absorb) the competition and shrink the space. Case in point; look at airlines.


Deregulation passed in 1978 created not only a surge in small, value brand names such as Southwest and AirTran. These low-cost names truly began to put pressure on larger airlines. Remember airfare wars? The winner was you and me so what's a larger airline to do to counteract these price ware? How can you demand a higher price? Absorb your competition.

This graphic shows how even back in 2010, just how many were merged with their larger counterparts. (click image to…

Read More, Comment and Share......

Admin

The Truth And Myths Of Greentech

We are witnessing the maturation of an industry and the adoption of proven management practices. Successful cleantech companies are making their offerings competitive by focusing on excellence in operations, marketing, sales, and distribution. The principles that apply to any manufacturing business, such as reducing procurement costs and improving productivity through lean manufacturing, are increasingly important for clean technologies as well.

The cleantech space is diverse; it cannot be painted with a broad brush. We looked at 16 important clean technologies and found that while every single one has made progress over the past decade, some are moving much faster than others. Just over half of them—advanced building technologies, advanced agriculture, food life-cycle optimization, grid analytics, grid-scale storage, intelligent transport, next-generation vehicles, solar PVs (photovoltaics), unconventional natural gas, and water treatment—could become truly disruptive to…

Read More, Comment and Share......

Admin

El Erian: Welcome To The Great Moderation 2.0

There is a real threat of a credit boom and collapse, as the market enters a period of decreased macroeconomic volatility, former Pimco CEO Mohamed A. El-Erian told CNBC on Friday.  Separately, El-Erian said now is a good time to take profits considering the sluggish U.S. economy and geopolitical concerns around the world, including and especially surrounding Ukraine.

Fully story at…

Read More, Comment and Share......

Admin

Skyrocketing Prices At The Pharmacy Counter

The staggering increase in prescription drug costs can only make one wonder if one day..... only the wealthy "elite" will be able to afford to live longer.

Prices for brand-name drugs for diseases such as diabetes, multiple sclerosis, cancer, and arthritis are soaring, a survey for Bloomberg News by data provider DRX found.  Analysts, meanwhile, predict the first $1 million drug treatment may be just around the corner. The analysis of big-selling drugs found that price increases in the United States have far outpaced inflation since late 2007 for many drug categories. Here are 73 drug brands whose U.S. prices for at least one dosage…

Read More, Comment and Share......

Admin
Interesting today was the Janice Yellen addressed the distribution of wealth and the effect that Fed policy has has on income inequality. Mentioning the Koch brothers at least three (3) times and that continuance of same not only affects taxpayers ability to influence democracy but can affect social stability. This is the first time I've EVER heard any Fed member address this and it will be interesting to see if such "speak" continues going forward.

Read More, Comment and Share......

Admin

When You Can't Even Afford To Rent

Numerous articles have noted a sharp rise in the price of renting an apartment or house across the U.S.  Many have also argued that the rise in rents disproportionately affects lower and middle class renters.

I know in my own situation, my rent increased 9% in 2013 and 10% in 2014.  Did our incomes increase by as much?  I wish.

Houseofdebt.org decided to take look by examining the great data available on rents from Zillow.

The chart shows general inflation (measured with PCE headline inflation) versus the increase in rents. Both series are indexed to be 100 as of November 2010 (the first month the Zillow data are available).

The pattern is…

Read More, Comment and Share......

Admin

Low Wage Job Creation Persists

Digging deeper into today's better-than-expected non-farm payroll, one sees (again) that low-wage job creation comprises the majority of the gains.  Once again it seems the middle class is being left out leaving only the lower and upper class job creation.  When comp aring "this" recovery to those of the past, I would believe one would have to locate one where the largest population is left out of the recovery.  Can the "rich" alone sustain expansion and growth?  Obviously these low wage workers will not be moving out of their parents home any time soon.  Certainly higher education would assist in their move up the ladder however what does that bode for the already explosive rate of education loans (and those in default).  The Fed has become one large hedge fund, propping up the…

Read More, Comment and Share......

Admin

CNBC's Liesman, Housing And Other Fairy Tales

Ever want to reach through the television screen and punch someone?  To see ANY commentator spew fairy dust and tall tales with a straight face without telling the entire picture just makes my blood boil.  Here's a portion of this discussion - full video located below

"The excess amount of young adults living at home will unwind alongside a stronger macroeconmic environment and income growth; and the inordinate amount of married couples that are residing in apartment will transition into single-family homes"
Liesman continues:  It has been wrong but I still believe. 
Seriously?  Sure - in a normal recovery!
Steve while you're doing your "30,000 foot view", did…

Read More, Comment and Share......

Admin

Throwback Thursday Reads

  • On this day in 1965: In a boardroom on Cove St. in New Bedford, MA, a young, crew-cut Warren Buffett takes control of decrepit textile maker Berkshire Hathaway Inc., whose stock closes that day at $18 a share. Over the next thirty-three years, the stock price rises to $84,000 a share.  Source: Roger Lowenstein, Buffett: The Making of an American Capitalist (Random House, New York, 1995), p. 130. Courtesy of JasonZweig
  • GS, MS and others revised their GDP # to a negative after today's poor construction spending numbers.  A negative GDP print has many wondering if we are, in fact, in a recession.  A recession as defined by the Fed is two consecutive GDP reports. 
  • The weak U.S. recovery has nothing to do…

Read More, Comment and Share......

RSS
Email me when there are new items in this category –

We welcome you to post a blog entry, oped or share your daily reading with us as long as it is relevant to the topic of investing and not an attempt to sell a product, proprietary strategy, platform or other service. Please provide links to any research data and if re-posting other articles, give credit where credit is due providing a back link to the original site.

300 words minimum per post. You may also sort by category or search by topic. Don't forget to comment and please "share" via Facebook, Twitter and Google+. If you have any questions, please contact us.


Only search StockBuz

Un-check to search the web

FOLLOW STOCKBUZ

__________________

This is a member-supported site. Please donate when you can to help pay the rent. Thank you!

Stay Informed. Sign up for the FREE StockBuz eNewsletter

________________

Investing involves substantial risk. All content is subject to StockBuz disclaimer.

Create Income With Option Spreads

All content on StockBuz.net is subject to disclaimer and Terms of Service
web counter
web counter