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january barometer (1)

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Negative January Effect. Real or Mumbo Jumbo?

Last week BTIG's Dan Greenhaus tried to dismiss the talk of the January effect (calm investors) stating “Normal corrections” tend to be anywhere from 5-8%, which is basically what we had/are having. If that’s the case, and our underlying fundamental views have not shifted (they have not), then stepping into markets down more than 5% should prove rewarding over time.  Of course me, being a skeptic of MSM (and everything out there for that matter), caught the last two words "over time" and raised an eyebrow.  Seriously?  Over time?  Most small investors won't risk more than 10% of any position.  Many only $100 if possible and this prompted me to poke around a little further on this January effect…

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