What We're Reading

Having felt that BDI had bottomed and recommended accumulation here, here and here it appears that $BDI came back and tested prior breakout support.  Certainly a not unexpected move.  Now, breaking out of a falling wedge, I would imaging that lower area to be tested once more where I will add further to my position in the belief that the bottom is still in and they're finally able to increase rates.

• Drybulk shipping rates continue to move higher, adding to last week's run as iron ore shipments out of Brazil and Australia pick up.
• On Friday, drybulk rates as measured by the Baltic Dry Index rose 7.7%, capping a 31% gain for the week driven by strength across the board but mainly in Capesize and Panamax rates.
• After beginning its ascent on July 23, the BDI has jumped 40%, rising in every session except one.
• Last week, Capesize rates surged 65% to $15,561/day, Panamax rates climbed 29% to $6,397/day, and Supramax rates added 9% to $9,170/day. (courtesy of S/A)

Full disclo

The chart says it all.  I will be adding to my shipping drawer stock $NAT here.  Maybe the shipping index truly has been an indicator of true global (low) demand coupled with an oversupply of ships and heavy debt but charts do not lie.  People do.  Funds should be adding to their positions down at this test of prior breakout support.  We may build a long base, which is healthy.  Add at the lows.  I will still hold my (alert) stop comfortably below the 2012 low (not by a few pennies either).  They may even try to shake out weak hands by taking out that low before reversing however I'm undaunted.  Come on, bring it.  I'll buy more at these prices as global economies begin to heal and M&A should pick up in this beaten up sector.