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What Yield Curve Inversion Is Telling Us

The US yield curve has (almost) inverted, and this has been making headlines for the last couple of months now. This should come as no surprise, as the yield curve is perhaps the most reliable recession indicator out there. But what does an inverted yield curve tell us about future returns? Our analysis shows that while asset class returns in general are somewhat subdued between the first date on which the yield curve inverts and the start of the recession, the inversion of the yield curve…

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Yield Curve Inversion We're All Watching

Whether you're watching CNBC, Twitter or another news outlet, you're hearing a great deal of talk about the odds increasing that the Fed will drop rates soon.  Everyone's cheering it on..........yet no one's talking about recession possibilities.  Don't say 'recession' on live tv!  Keep that notion out of your head!  At least I believe…

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Maybe you've never heard of MMT (Modern Monetary Theory). But no doubt, as the 2020 election nears, you will. It's the latest contentious buzzword to hit Washington, D.C.

The idea, despite its name, is not new or "modern." But it has set off a heated political and economic debate, with Fed Chairman Jerome Powell telling Congress last week that Modern Monetary Policy is "just wrong."

Does Modern Monetary Theory, or MMT, represent a brave new future of ever-expanding government…

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Is Africa the new China?

Africa’s economic pulse has quickened, infusing the continent with a new commercial vibrancy. Real GDP rose by 4.9 percent a year from 2000 through 2008, more than twice its pace in the 1980s and ’90s. Telecommunications, banking, and retailing are flourishing. Construction is booming. Private-investment inflows are surging.  Read more at McKinsey

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0 Replies · Reply by Kos Oct 13, 2013
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Cafe Buz

  Howmany times have we been in chat discussing [or drooling] over someone's homemade pizza, Jambalaya or Minestrone soup after a long day of trading?  Well here's your chance to pony up and share some of those recipes with your fellow members!    Don't be shy; we all love to eat.  You can even bring up your favorite Scotch, cigar, diner or hometown restaurant.   We all share advice with one another when travelling - store your favs here!  Upload a pic if you're able to as well and don't…

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3 Replies · Reply by Ryan Romero Jun 4, 2011
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