What We're Reading

crude-oil (4)

Admin

I'm sorry but you just know in your gut that the entire "limited supply" was just a ploy.  I've always found it amazing that once the big boys switched over their rigs from gas to oil, not only were we pumping out more of the black stuff, but surprise surprise they found boatloads of the stuff in Bakkens leading us towards energy independence!

The US produced more crude oil domestically during January-April this year at an average rate of 7.11 million barrels per day (bbl/d) than in any comparable period in more than two decades going back to 1992. Meanwhile, imports during the first four months of this year…

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Admin

Natural Gas Outperforming Crude Oil *booyah!*

[Edited October 15, 2012 to add Reuters link and Citicorp PDF ]

Natty outperform black gold?  Texas tea?  Yes it's happening and the intriguing part is it could continue.  It's unimaginable, unheard of, pure heresy but it at the same time, appears to be the Captain Obvious trade to these novice aging eyes.  While I'm no guru and don't begin to know it's intricacies, allow me to explain from a technical analysis and common sense point of view.  [CLICK ON ANY CHART TO ENLARGE]

 

#1  Falling crude oil demand in developed countries continues and this decline is expected to continue going forward......while increasing demand is expected in developing countries however I doubt quite a rapid increase given…

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Admin

Crude Oil Spikes and Historic Recessions

"I've just completed a new research paper that surveys the history of the oil industry with a particular focus on the events associated with significant changes in the price of oil. Here I report the paper's summary of oil market disruptions and economic downturns since the Second World War. Every recession (with one exception) was preceded by an increase in oil prices, and every oil market disruption (with one exception) was followed by an economic recession."

The table above itemizes the particular postwar events that are reviewed in detail in my paper. The paper also provides the following summary…

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Admin

Monopoly Lessons by Goatmug

Just too much good research to let it disappear. Get a cup of coffee, take the phone off the receiver and snuggle up. Reprinted from one of my favs SlopeofHope

SEPTEMBER UPDATE

Overall, we are seeing divergent data coming through as usual, so we'll have to wait and see where we fall. In general, I tend to believe the longer term theme that I've laid out that our economic situation for consumers is slowly grinding to a halt while big business is taking full advantage of the globalization of the world economy and managing to keep busy. I think this is why some of this data remains stubbornly positive despite what the average guy is feeling here in the US. The fact that large multi-nationals are diverse enough to show gains abroad is great and is really beneficial to the US economy, if we didn't have that, I think we'd be in a much worse…

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